The attendant violence that will follow the 2015 general election will be horrendous and worse than the aftermath of the 2011 elections, former Minister of Foreign Affairs, Prof. Bolaji Akinyemi, has predicted. He hinged his forecast on the illegal massive importation of arms and ammunition. He stated this in a letter dated December 16 and addressed to President Goodluck Jonathan, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) presidential flag bearer, and former Head of State, Major General Muhammadu Buhari, the presidential standard bearer of the All Progressives Congress (APC), a copy of which was made available to New Telegraph,. The Deputy Chairman of the 2014 National Conference said that irrespective of whoever wins the 2015 presidential election between Jonathan and Buhari, there will still be violence.
He said:
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“The violence of 2015 is going to be horrendous and worse than the one of 2011 for the simple reason that the illegal massive importation of weapons into the country has reached such alarming proportions that I really wonder which is better armed, the militias on one hand or the official armed forces on the other hand. “For the avoidance of doubt, I am not imputing the illegal importation of arms to any particular zone. Some years ago, some Iranians were arrested for bringing in a shipload of weapons into Lagos harbour. They were tried and jailed and then smuggled out of the country. Some months ago, sophisticated weapons were discovered buried in the basement of a Kano house. All these have now fallen below the radar. These are the ones we know about. How many do we not know about? “There are states and movements out there, African and non-African, which do not mean well for the Nigerian state, which wish Nigeria to dissolve into a theatre of bloodshed, gore and instability. They will succeed if we continue the politics of making enemies of ourselves and friends of our enemies.” Hundreds of people died while several properties were destroyed in the North following the declaration of President Jonathan as the winner of the 2011 presidential election. Buhari, the candidate of the defunct Congress for Progressive Change (CPC), lost the election. Akinyemi stated that Nigeria is back at the crossroads more precarious and dangerous than the 2011.
His words:
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“Now we are back at the same crossroads again, except this time is more precarious and dangerous than the last time. Firstly, we have this very notorious prediction from United States semi-official sources that the world is expecting a cataclysmic meltdown of the Nigerian nation come 2015. Of course, most Nigerians have taken umbrage at this prediction for their country. But there are Nigerians who are indifferent to the outcome of this prediction. “Secondly, the certainty of violence after the 2015 elections is higher than it was in 2011. If President Jonathan wins, the North would erupt into violence as it did in 2011. If General Buhari wins, the Niger Delta will erupt into violence. I don’t believe that we need rocket science to make this prediction.” Akinyemi said similar situation arose in the build up to the 2011 elections. According to him, “Shortly after his appointment as National Security Adviser, General Patrick Aziza… I was sure that there would be violence on a massive scale and I made some suggestions to him about how I thought the violence could be contained. My suggestions were not acted upon. The elections occurred, President Jonathan won and all hell broke loose. Missing were the conflict-controlled measures which I had discussed with General Aziza.”
Akinyemi suggested ways out of the impending danger. According to him, the first step forward is for the two presidential candidates to meet and sign a Memorandum of Undertaking (MoU) that will commit both to: A civil and peaceful campaign, devoid of threats; a commitment to preach peaceful elections to their supporters; a commitment to control their supporters after the elections. Supporters of whoever loses should be entitled to peaceful protests but not to violent protests.
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I have been reporting on latest news from Nigeria for almost 10 years now. I report on every possible news area I come across, but always ensure my reports are compiled with dignity and fact to uphold my personal values and duty as a journalist
Posted: at 22-12-2014 06:33 AM (10 years ago) | Addicted Hero
ayogstar at 22-12-2014 07:15 AM (10 years ago) (m)
Nice...really nice
Posted: at 22-12-2014 07:15 AM (10 years ago) | Upcoming
Prof Akinyemi, You have a point bt as an elderstateman,i expect you to be optimistic nt being a pessimist, and i dnt think signing an MOU is the answer,the whole country having a different political orientation is the answer
Writing is my passion and facts-proofing is my hobby, I have been writing at Gistmania for close to a decade now and It is one of the most exciting things I do. Outside writing, I love enjoying time with my loved ones - if you have any tip for me, please do get in touch
Posted: at 22-12-2014 10:58 AM (10 years ago) | Gistmaniac